我们研究了与从介入数据中恢复因果图有关的两个问题:(i)$ \ textIt {verification} $,其中的任务是检查声称的因果图是否正确,并且(ii)$ \ textit {search} $,任务是恢复正确的因果图。对于这两者,我们都希望最大程度地减少执行的干预措施的数量。对于第一个问题,我们给出了一组最小尺寸的原子干预措施的表征,这些干预措施是必要且足以检查所要求的因果图的正确性。我们的表征使用$ \ textit {coving edges} $的概念,这使我们能够获得简单的证据,并且很容易理解早期结果。我们还将结果推广到有限尺寸干预措施和节点依赖性干预成本的设置。对于上述所有设置,我们提供了第一种已知的可验证算法,用于有效地计算(接近)一般图上的最佳验证集。对于第二个问题,我们给出了一种基于图形分离器的简单自适应算法,该算法会产生一个原子干预集,该集合在使用$ \ MATHCAL {O}(\ log n)$ times $ times所需的$所需干预措施时,该算法完全围绕任何必需图表。 \ textIt {verify} $(验证大小)$ n $顶点上的基础dag。相对于验证大小而言,此近似值是紧密的,因为$ \ textit {any} $搜索算法的最差情况是$ \ omega(\ log n)$的最差情况。使用有限的大小干预措施,每个大小$ \ leq k $,我们的算法给出了$ \ mathcal {o}(\ log n \ cdot \ log \ log \ log k)$ factor actialation。我们的结果是第一种已知的算法,该算法对一般未加权图和有界尺寸干预的验证尺寸提供了非平凡的近似保证。
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Tuberculosis (TB), an infectious bacterial disease, is a significant cause of death, especially in low-income countries, with an estimated ten million new cases reported globally in $2020$. While TB is treatable, non-adherence to the medication regimen is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality. Thus, proactively identifying patients at risk of dropping off their medication regimen enables corrective measures to mitigate adverse outcomes. Using a proxy measure of extreme non-adherence and a dataset of nearly $700,000$ patients from four states in India, we formulate and solve the machine learning (ML) problem of early prediction of non-adherence based on a custom rank-based metric. We train ML models and evaluate against baselines, achieving a $\sim 100\%$ lift over rule-based baselines and $\sim 214\%$ over a random classifier, taking into account country-wide large-scale future deployment. We deal with various issues in the process, including data quality, high-cardinality categorical data, low target prevalence, distribution shift, variation across cohorts, algorithmic fairness, and the need for robustness and explainability. Our findings indicate that risk stratification of non-adherent patients is a viable, deployable-at-scale ML solution.
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